01 If the birth rate is 40 per thousand and the death rate is 37 per thousand which stage is most likely?
Answer and explanation
Correct answer: A. First stage
Explanation: The birth rate is 40 per thousand and the death rate is 37 per thousand. Both rates are very high, but their difference is only 3 per thousand, so natural increase is small: \(40-37=3\) per thousand. A population with high births and high deaths, producing only slow growth, fits the first stage of demographic transition. High mortality may reflect limited health care, sanitation, nutrition, or protection from disease.
Therefore, option A is correct. The second stage usually has a high birth rate but a much lower death rate, creating rapid population growth. The third stage has lower birth and death rates, while the modern low-growth stage does not have such high mortality. The small gap alone is not enough; the very high level of both rates identifies the first stage.